Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.816188e-05 0.000034 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071
2025-04-13 1.956629e-05 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000066 0.000082
2025-04-20 1.470032e-05 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000071 0.000092
2025-04-27 1.178280e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000078 0.000104
2025-05-04 9.803190e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000041 0.000060 0.000084 0.000116
2025-05-11 8.937114e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133
2025-05-18 7.677993e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000101 0.000145
2025-05-25 5.831797e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000068 0.000102 0.000150
2025-06-01 4.580739e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000067 0.000104 0.000156
2025-06-08 3.793566e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000069 0.000108 0.000165
2025-06-15 3.108039e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000070 0.000112 0.000174
2025-06-22 2.416882e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000069 0.000114 0.000179
2025-06-29 1.690211e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000069 0.000116 0.000187
2025-07-06 1.052788e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000034 0.000066 0.000116 0.000191
2025-07-13 6.958754e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000118 0.000200
2025-07-20 4.957679e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000032 0.000068 0.000124 0.000212
2025-07-27 3.660436e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000032 0.000070 0.000131 0.000227
2025-08-03 3.261075e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000143 0.000250
2025-08-10 2.433222e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000079 0.000150 0.000266
2025-08-17 1.247789e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000270
2025-08-24 6.455322e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000076 0.000152 0.000277
2025-08-31 3.648924e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000156 0.000289
2025-09-07 1.813738e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000078 0.000161 0.000300